Boris Johnson’s supporters had been clear that if he won a straight majority in last night’s confidence vote, he would carry on as prime minister. A win, they said, is a win. Except that the history of Tory leadership challenges shows that a win can be anything but.
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heresa May, John Major and, most famously, Margaret Thatcher found to their cost that gaining the backing of a majority of their MPs was no guarantee of long-term success.