Stampeders vs Tiger-Cats Week 2 Picks and Predictions: Hamilton Prevails at Home as Slight Favourite
By Rohit Ponnaiya
The Calgary Stampeders face off against the Hamilton Tiger-Cats in Week 2 of CFL action on Saturday night. The Ticats will try to bounce back from a road loss to the Roughriders while the Stamps will look to build on their come-from-behind victory last week.
CFL betting lines hit the board with the Ticats installed as 2.5-point faves and have since shortened to -1. Here are our best free Stampeders vs. Tiger-Cats picks and predictions for Saturday, June 17, with kickoff at 6:30 p.m. ET.
Stampeders vs Tiger-Cats odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.
This line hit the board with the Ti-Cats at -2.5 with the total at 45.5. Early money came in on the Stampeders and the Under, shifting the line to Hamilton -1 and moving the total to 45.0.
Stampeders vs Tiger-Cats Week 2 predictions
Predictions made on 6/16/2022 at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
Stampeders vs Tiger-Cats game info
• Location: Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton, ON
• Date: Saturday, June 18, 2022
• Kickoff: 6:30 p.m. ET
• TV: TSN
Stampeders at Tiger-Cats betting preview
Stampeders: Branden Dozier DB (Out), Elie Bouka DB (Questionable), Jonathan Moxey DB (Questionable), Malik Henry WR (Questionable).
Tiger-Cats: Cariel Brooks (Out), Alex Fontana C (Questionable), Dylan Wynn DT (Questionable), Lemar Durant WR (Out).
Find our latest CFL injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Under is 6-1 in the Tiger-Cats last seven games following a loss. Find more CFL betting trends for Stampeders vs. Tiger-Cats.
Stampeders vs Tiger-Cats picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favourite pick across all markets.
The Stampeders came from behind to kick a game-winning field goal with less than a minute on the clock to defeat the Als last Thursday. It was a solid performance from the Stamps who did enough to win but didn’t stand out in any one area and benefitted from winning the turnover battle.
The Ticats were on the road in Regina in Week 1 and while their strong defence kept them competitive for most of the game, it fell apart in the fourth quarter and the Riders pulled away with a 30-13 victory.
The Ticats offence struggled last week, turning the ball over five times, but should be in line for some positive regression in that area, especially with how few mistakes they made last season. Their defence was terrific in 2021 and should be just as good this season after adding Micah Johnson to an already loaded defensive line.
Combine that disruptive defensive line with an excellent linebacker duo and an extremely talented secondary and Hamilton has the pieces to slow down Calgary’s attack.
The Stamps aren’t quite as impressive on defence, especially in the secondary where they have a few key injuries. While the offence under two-time MOP winner Bo Levi Mitchell has the playmakers to be potent, it had trouble consistently moving the ball last week.
We’ll take the home side with the superior defence at close to a pick’em price.
Prediction: Tiger-Cats -1 (-110 at bet365)
Covers CFL betting analysis
Calgary running back Ka’Deem Carey ran the ball well last week but the passing game under Mitchell was hot and cold.
Mitchell is a proven winner, but he struggled through an injury-filled 2021 campaign and looked awful this preseason before rolling his ankle in Week 1. He’s out of his walking boot and will suit up on Saturday, but we can’t help but wonder if he’ll be looking over his shoulder at second-year QB Jake Maier who has impressed when pressed into service.
Hamilton QB Dane Evans was also unimpressive in Week 1 and the Ticats offensive line struggled to protect him. The Stamps have a decent front-four on defence, so we could see Ti-Cats head coach Orlondo Steinauer opt to run shorter routes and try to get the running game going which should soak up the game clock.
Meanwhile, both stop-units showed how good they could be last week. The Ticats surrendered 18 points in the final quarter but had allowed just 12 points in the first 45 minutes, despite their sloppy offence giving the Riders prime field position.
The Stamps shut down the Alouettes in the second half week, limiting them to just three points after the break. We’re taking the Under here.
Prediction: Under 45.5 (-110 at FanDuel)
The O/U for this game has actually ticked down by half a point at most books, making it the only contest through the first two weeks that didn’t see the total move up by at least two points after sharps hammered the Over.
The fact that this game hasn’t seen money pour in on the Over should cause your ears to perk up a bit, especially with the defensive fronts for both teams having the edge in the trenches against overmatched offensive lines.
The betting trends also strongly lean towards the Under with Hamilton going 5-16 O/U in its last 21 games and the Under cashing in 13 of the last 16 meetings between these sides.
Pick: Under 45.5 (-110 at FanDuel)
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