Canadian Grand Prix Picks and Predictions: Red Bull Repeats Its Success

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By Alistair Corp

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For the first time since the infamous 2019 race in Montreal, Formula 1 returns to the Circuit Gilles Villeneuve for the Canadian Grand Prix this weekend. It’s the third consecutive street circuit for F1 and the second high-speed track in a row, after Baku a week ago.

The championship leader Max Verstappen, who took the checkered flag last weekend in Baku, is the Canadian Grand Prix odds favourite. Will Red Bull and Verstappen continue their excellent form after a frustrating start to the F1 season?

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We’ll answer that question and more with our Canadian Grand Prix picks and predictions.

Canadian Grand Prix picks and predictions

Pre-qualifying predictions

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Picks made on 6/17/2022 at 3:00 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Canadian Grand Prix predictions (pre-qualifying)

Race winner pick

Ahead of the Azerbaijan Grand Prix, Max Verstappen was favoured, and rightfully so. Even after qualifying third on Saturday, there was a tremendous amount of confidence in the Red Bull driver’s race pace delivering on Sunday.

Sure enough, the Dutchman would cruise to victory untroubled by two retired Ferraris or his teammate, Sergio Perez, who had been quicker around Baku in the sessions prior to the race. At another high-speed street circuit this weekend, we’re expecting a similarly dominant showing for Red Bull.

While Baku and Montreal aren’t totally alike, they do share one crucial characteristic: An incredibly long straight. The run to the line in Baku is the longest in F1, around two kilometres long. The second-longest straight? In Montreal, out of the hairpin, down to turn 13.

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Verstappen and Perez made tremendous gains on the straight in Baku, and that will be the case again in Montreal. At a rapid circuit, we’re happily backing the best driver on the grid with the most powerful engine. Count on Verstappen to take a second straight win and extend his championship lead.

Pick: Max Verstappen – Race winner (-163 at bet365)

Double podium pick

Just as we’re going back to Verstappen to win the race, we’re again looking at Perez to join him on the podium and give Red Bull a fourth straight double podium finish. And, like our reasoning for picking Verstappen to win again, the outlook here hasn’t changed much from a week ago.

For starters, Red Bull’s power will be dominant in Montreal, and its primary competitor, Ferrari, will be worse off.

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A technical directive was issued this week to limit the amount of porpoising allowed, forcing teams to make adjustments that will hinder performance. While Red Bull has largely been unaffected by porpoising this season, Ferrari — despite all the promise it’s shown — has struggled a considerable amount with it.

It was prevalent at a high-speed street circuit in Melbourne, so changes will be made in a similar setting in Montreal, and its performance will suffer as a result.

We can have full confidence in Perez to take advantage of the opportunity in Montreal, too, with the Mexican driver in blistering form this season. Perez has five podium finishes in eight races this season, finishing fourth in two others while he retired in Bahrain.

Red Bull is the best car on the grid and at a track that suits its strengths. With the Top 2 in the Drivers’ Championship in its cars, there’s no reason Red Bull can’t take another double podium.

Pick: Red Bull – Double podium (-163 at bet365)

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here

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