Braves vs. Cubs odds, prediction, picks, probable pitchers, preview

36


Before the Braves and Cubs begin a three-game series tonight at Wrigley Field, Charlie DiSturco of The Action Network is here to give his best bet (video above).

The Braves will send Charlie Morton to the mound in the Windy City, while the Cubs will counter with Keegan Thompson. And, even though the Braves arrive at this contest having won 14 straight games, DiSturco believes there’s value with the underdog tonight.

The logic? Thompson brings a home pitching edge while Morton has struggled of late.



Claim a Risk-Free First Bet up to $1,000

New customers only. Must be 21+. AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, LA, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY only. Full T&C apply.


Caesars Sportsbook Logo Square

Up To $1500 Risk Free First Bet

New users only, 21 or older. NY, CO, DC, IA, IN, IL, MI, NV, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV only. Full T&Cs apply.


The WynnBet Logo

Bet $50 Get $200 in Free Bets

21+. New customers only. NY, AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV only. T&C apply


The BetRivers Logo

100% First Deposit Match up to $250 with promo code NYPBONUS

New players only, 21+. NY, NJ, MI, AZ, VA only. In order to participate in this promotion, the player needs to make a first deposit (of at least $10). Full T&C apply.


FanDuel Logo Square

Bet $5, Get $200 in free bets – Win or Lose

21+. New customers only. NY, AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV only. T&C apply



Bet $20, Get $100 in Free Bets

21+. New customers only. CO & VA Only. T&Cs apply.



Risk Free Bet Up to $1000 + One Free Month of Fubo TV

New users only, 21 or older. Available in IA, AZ only. Full T&C apply.



Bet $1 Get $200 in Bet Credits with NYP365

21+. New customers only. NJ only. Full T&C apply.



Bet $20, Get $100 in Free Bets

21+ & New Customers only. NJ & PA only. Full T&Cs apply.



Get a $250 First Deposit Match

21+, New Customers Only. NJ and CT only. Full T&Cs apply.

“Opponents have a .276 expected batting average against Morton, who has given up a 42.7 percent hard hit rate,” DiSturco explains.

Both of those metrics are career-lows for Morton, who has also surrendered an eight percent barrel rate and 5.01 expected ERA this season. Further, Morton’s walks are up while his strikeouts are down this season.

Charlie Morton #50 of the Atlanta Braves delivers a first inning pitch against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on May 31, 2022 in Phoenix, Arizona.
After registering a 3.34 ERA in 33 starts last season, Charlie Morton has seen his ERA balloon by more than two runs per game.
Getty Images

On the flip-side, Thompson has witnessed his fair share of struggles, but there are still positive underlying metrics. Opponents have only a .242 expected batting average against the right-hander, who brings a 4.05 xERA into this matchup.


Check out the best sports betting sites and apps


Thompson also ranks in the top-20 percent of all pitchers in terms of hard hit rate and average exit velocity. Plus, he’s pitched much better at home this season — at Wrigley Field, his ERA is 1.80 against a 6.63 ERA on the road.

For all those reasons, DiSturco recommends holding your nose and backing the Chicago Cubs Moneyline (+155) as he would play it down to +140.



Source link

Leave a comment